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Independiente d vs Emelec — Liga Pro

Liga Pro · Ecuador
1 1.40
X 4.75
2 7.50

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
56%Prob.
X2 X2 Odds @2.92 Moderate confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
1Independiente d 37%@1.40
XDraw 56%@4.75
2Emelec 7%@7.50
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 32%@3.02
Under 3.5 68%@1.42
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 17%@1.97
No 83%@1.78

Predicted match stats

Our model's projection for the 90 minutes.

Independiente dStatEmelec
2.75
xG
0.88
54
Possession
46
22
Total shots
9
11
On target
4
7
Corners
4
2
Yellows
1
1
Offsides
4
10
Fouls
12

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

Independiente dPer matchEmelec
3.0
Goals scored / game
0.8
0.7
Goals conceded / game
0.4
56
Possession %
49
19.7
Shots / game
11.1
6.6
Corners / game
5.6
2.42
Expected goals
0.84

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

Independiente dRateEmelec
9
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5
5
8
Over 2.5
0
4
BTTS
2

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Independiente d WWWWW
W 8 Aug LDU de Quito Independiente d 0 2 2.87 2.50
W 2 Aug Independiente d Deportivo C 1 0 1.32 10.75
W 30 Jul Independiente d Manta FC 1 0 1.17 13.50
W 26 Jul Orense SC Independiente d 2 3 4.90 1.78
W 22 Jul Independiente d Tecnico U 3 0 1.23 12.50
W 16 Jul Aucas Independiente d 0 3 3.90 2.20
Emelec DLLDW
D 10 Aug Guayaquil C Emelec 0 0 2.95 2.48
L 2 Aug Emelec Aucas 0 2 2.25 3.40
L 28 Jul Deportivo C Emelec 2 1 2.32 3.40
D 24 Jul Emelec Mushuc R 1 1 1.82 4.40
W 17 Jul Orense SC Emelec 0 2 2.22 3.70
D 13 Jul Emelec Barcelona SC 0 0 3.35 2.55

Head to head

Independiente d
2·1·2
Emelec
  • Mar 2026 Emelec 2 - 0 Independi
  • Aug 2025 Emelec 0 - 1 Independi
  • May 2025 Independi 1 - 2 Emelec
  • Sep 2024 Independi 2 - 1 Emelec
  • Apr 2024 Emelec 0 - 0 Independi

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
2 Macara 24 +8 41
3 Aucas 24 +4 41
5 Barcelona SC 24 +5 35
6 LDU de Quito 24 +3 35
7 Libertad 24 -1 33
12 Orense SC 24 -8 27
13 Emelec 24 -9 26
15 Delfin SC 24 -9 24
16 Manta FC 24 -19 17

Legend

  • Play-offs
  • Relegation Playoffs