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Venados vs Leones Negros — Liga de Expansión MX

1 2.02
X 3.70
2 3.15
1st half0-0
2nd half1-1
  1. Reyes J.1-0 79'
  2. 83' 1-1Gil O.Assist Perez J.

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
89%Prob.
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.47 Very high confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Venados 27%@2.02
Draw 15%@3.70
Leones Negros 58%@3.15
Total goalsOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 89%@1.47
Under 2.5 11%@11.89
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 81%@1.43
No 19%@2.63
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.46
Half-time 1:1 Predicted
Correct score 2:1 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

VenadosPredictedLeones Negros
1.67xG1.48
48%Possession52%
15Total shots13
6On target5
5Corners5
3Yellows3
1Offsides2
15Fouls11
VenadosActualLeones Negros
0.94xG0.80
51%Possession49%
13Total shots11
6On target4
3Corners6
4Offsides1
14Fouls8
VenadosActual · PredictedLeones Negros
0.941.67xG0.801.48
51%48%Possession49%52%
1315Total shots1113
66On target45
35Corners65
41Offsides12
1415Fouls811

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

VenadosPer matchLeones Negros
2.3Goals scored / game2.3
2.1Goals conceded / game1.4
52%Possession53%
13.5Shots / game14.0
5.0Corners / game5.1
1.53Expected goals1.73

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

VenadosRateLeones Negros
50%Wins60%
100%Over 1.5100%
90%Over 2.570%
90%BTTS70%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Venados WDWWL
W 25 Oct Venados Durango 3 2 2.15 3.15
D 18 Oct Cancun Venados 1 1 2.00 3.70
W 3 Oct CA La Paz Venados 1 2 1.55 4.55
W 27 Sept Venados Monarcas 2 1 2.72 2.47
L 19 Sept Piratas Venados 2 1 1.62 4.50
W 13 Sept Venados Tepatitlan 5 0 1.45 5.80
L 6 Sept CDS T Venados 4 3 1.95 4.10
L 29 Aug Tlaxcala Venados 3 1 2.35 2.85
W 21 Aug Venados Dorados 4 2 1.73 4.40
L 15 Aug Mineros Z Venados 5 1 2.25 3.10
Leones Negros WLWWL
W 25 Oct Mineros Z Leones Negros 0 2 2.08 3.40
L 18 Oct Leones Negros Alebrijes 1 2 1.42 6.00
W 4 Oct Leones Negros Dorados 6 3 1.70 5.00
W 26 Sept Cruz A Leones Negros 1 2 2.55 2.65
L 20 Sept Monarcas Leones Negros 2 0 1.75 4.20
D 13 Sept Leones Negros CA La Paz 2 2 2.22 2.95
W 7 Sept Tapatio Leones Negros 1 3 2.45 3.00
D 30 Aug Leones Negros Piratas 1 1 2.35 3.00
W 23 Aug Durango Leones Negros 1 2 2.20 3.10
W 16 Aug Leones Negros CDS T 4 0 2.27 3.05

Head to head

Venados
2·1·2
Leones Negros
  • Apr 2026 Venados 2 - 1 Leones Negros
  • Nov 2025 Leones Negros 1 - 0 Venados
  • Apr 2025 Leones Negros 3 - 1 Venados
  • Nov 2024 Venados 3 - 0 Leones Negros
  • Jan 2024 Venados 1 - 1 Leones Negros

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 CA La Paz 14 +15 27
2 Leones Negros UDG 14 +12 27
3 Monarcas 14 +9 26
4 Piratas 14 +12 24
5 Venados FC 14 +6 24
6 Cancún 14 +8 22
7 Durango 14 +4 21
8 Tlaxcala 14 0 19
11 Tapatío 14 -3 17
12 Correcaminos Uat 14 -3 16
13 Dorados 14 -6 16
14 CDS Tampico Madero 14 -8 15
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 14 -5 14
16 Tepatitlán 14 -31 7

Legend

  • Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)