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Venados vs Atl. Morelia — Liga de Expansión MX

1 2.72
X 3.50
2 2.47
1st half1-0
  1. Lora S.Assist Reyes J.1-0 45'
2nd half1-1
  1. 60' 1-1Flores A.Assist Aguilar D.
  2. Lora S.2-1 65'
  3. Lora S.Missed penalty 81'

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
74%Prob.
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.54 High confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Venados 32%@2.72
Draw 25%@3.50
Atl. Morelia 43%@2.47
Total goalsOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 74%@1.54
Under 2.5 26%@4.38
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.48
No 44%@2.52
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 56%@1.60
Half-time 0:0 Predicted
Correct score 1:2 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

VenadosPredictedAtl. Morelia
52%Possession48%
15Total shots14
6On target5
6Corners5
2Yellows2
2Offsides3
17Fouls14
VenadosActualAtl. Morelia
47%Possession53%
16Total shots18
7On target8
3Corners12
5Yellows2
0Offsides4
14Fouls14
VenadosActual · PredictedAtl. Morelia
47%52%Possession53%48%
1615Total shots1814
76On target85
36Corners125
52Yellows22
02Offsides43
1417Fouls1414

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

VenadosPer matchAtl. Morelia
2.4Goals scored / game2.2
2.1Goals conceded / game1.2
54%Possession53%
13.0Shots / game14.2
5.7Corners / game6.3

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

VenadosRateAtl. Morelia
40%Wins70%
100%Over 1.570%
90%Over 2.560%
80%BTTS60%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Venados WDDWL
W 25 Oct Venados Durango 3 2 2.15 3.15
D 18 Oct Cancun Venados 1 1 2.00 3.70
D 11 Oct Venados Leones Negros 1 1 2.02 3.15
W 3 Oct CA La Paz Venados 1 2 1.55 4.55
L 19 Sept Piratas Venados 2 1 1.62 4.50
W 13 Sept Venados Tepatitlan 5 0 1.45 5.80
L 6 Sept CDS T Venados 4 3 1.95 4.10
L 29 Aug Tlaxcala Venados 3 1 2.35 2.85
W 21 Aug Venados Dorados 4 2 1.73 4.40
L 15 Aug Mineros Z Venados 5 1 2.25 3.10
Atl. Morelia WLDDW
W 25 Oct Tapatio Monarcas 1 2 3.05 2.10
L 18 Oct Monarcas CDS T 1 2 1.50 5.75
D 10 Oct Tepatitlan Monarcas 1 1 5.70 1.45
D 4 Oct Monarcas Tlaxcala 1 1 1.52 5.25
W 20 Sept Monarcas Leones Negros 2 0 1.75 4.20
W 13 Sept Mineros Z Monarcas 0 1 2.45 2.85
W 6 Sept Monarcas Alebrijes 4 1 1.53 5.40
W 29 Aug Dorados Monarcas 0 1 2.95 2.25
L 21 Aug Monarcas Correcaminos 1 3 1.62 4.90
W 15 Aug Cruz A Monarcas 1 2 2.65 2.62

Head to head

Venados
2·1·2
Atl. Morelia
  • Feb 2026 Monarcas 2 - 1 Venados
  • Sept 2025 Venados 2 - 2 Monarcas
  • Mar 2025 Monarcas 1 - 0 Venados
  • Sept 2024 Venados 2 - 1 Monarcas
  • Mar 2024 Monarcas 3 - 4 Venados

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 CA La Paz 14 +15 27
2 Leones Negros UDG 14 +12 27
3 Monarcas 14 +9 26
4 Piratas 14 +12 24
5 Venados FC 14 +6 24
6 Cancún 14 +8 22
7 Durango 14 +4 21
8 Tlaxcala 14 0 19
11 Tapatío 14 -3 17
12 Correcaminos Uat 14 -3 16
13 Dorados 14 -6 16
14 CDS Tampico Madero 14 -8 15
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 14 -5 14
16 Tepatitlán 14 -31 7

Legend

  • Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)