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Turkey vs Italy — UEFA Nations League

1 2.95
X 3.50
2 2.50
1st half0-3
  1. 9' 0-1Bastoni A.
  2. 22' 0-2Frattesi D.
  3. 27' 0-3Kayode M.Assist Esposito F.
2nd half1-1
  1. Yilmaz B.Assist Aydin O.1-3 47'
  2. 50' 1-4Esposito F.

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
59%Prob.
Home team wins or draws 1X Odds @1.57 Moderate confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Turkey 46%@2.95
Draw 23%@3.50
Italy 31%@2.50
Total goalsOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 71%@1.24
Under 1.5 29%@3.04
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.56
No 44%@2.43
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.89
Half-time 1:0 Predicted
Correct score 2:1 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

TurkeyPredictedItaly
1.48xG1.32
52%Possession48%
17Total shots16
5On target5
6Corners5
2Yellows2
2Offsides1
12Fouls11
TurkeyActualItaly
1.86xG2.39
54%Possession46%
15Total shots14
3On target8
6Corners2
3Yellows0
1Offsides2
12Fouls21
TurkeyActual · PredictedItaly
1.861.48xG2.391.32
54%52%Possession46%48%
1517Total shots1416
35On target85
66Corners25
32Yellows02
12Offsides21
1212Fouls2111

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

TurkeyPer matchItaly
1.5Goals scored / game1.9
0.9Goals conceded / game1.2
57%Possession55%
17.9Shots / game17.3
7.3Corners / game6.5
1.59Expected goals1.55

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

TurkeyRateItaly
60%Wins70%
60%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS40%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Turkey LWLLW
L 25 Sept Turkiye France 0 1 8.00 1.38
W 26 Jun Turkiye USA 3 2 3.55 2.07
L 20 Jun Turkiye Paraguay 0 1 2.12 4.20
L 14 Jun Australia Turkiye 2 0 5.53 1.75
W 6 Jun Venezuela Turkiye 1 2 6.20 1.57
W 1 Jun Turkiye Macedonia 4 0 1.22 14.00
W 31 Mar Kosovo Turkiye 0 1 4.10 2.02
W 26 Mar Türkiye Romania 1 0 1.50 7.50
D 18 Nov Spain Türkiye 2 2 1.21 17.00
W 15 Nov Türkiye Bulgaria 2 0 1.11 20.00
Italy LWWDW
L 25 Sept Italy Belgium 0 2 2.25 3.35
W 7 Jun Greece Italy 0 1 2.80 2.80
W 3 Jun Luxembourg Italy 0 1 7.50 1.47
D 31 Mar Bosnia H Italy 1 1 9.00 1.52
W 26 Mar Italy N. Ireland 2 0 1.28 16.00
L 16 Nov Italy Norway 1 4 2.27 3.40
W 13 Nov Moldova Italy 0 2 25.00 1.10
W 14 Oct Italy Israel 3 0 1.19 14.50
W 11 Oct Estonia Italy 1 3 29.00 1.08
W 8 Sept Israel Italy 4 5 7.00 1.42

Head to head

No recent meetings on record

Our model leans on current form and underlying numbers for this one.

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 France 2 +2 6
2 Belgium 2 +1 3
3 Italy 2 +1 3
4 Türkiye 2 -4 0

Legend

  • Play Offs: Quarter-finals
  • Relegation Playoffs
  • Relegation