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Toluca vs Santos Laguna — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
1 1.23
X 7.40
2 12.50
1st half2-1
  1. Vinas F.Assist Vega A.1-0 25'
  2. PaulinhoAssist Vega A.2-0 43'
  3. 45+1' 2-1Bullaude E.
  4. del Villar E.Red card 45+7'
2nd half0-2
  1. 86' 2-2Palacios K.Assist Villalba F.
  2. 90+5' 2-3Villalba F.Assist Cuevas M.

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
56%Prob.
Away team wins or draws X2 Odds @4.50 Moderate confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toluca 44%@1.23
Draw 35%@7.40
Santos Laguna 21%@12.50
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 22%@6.91
Under 3.5 78%@1.95
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@1.80
No 54%@2.00

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

TolucaPredictedSantos Laguna
2.29xG1.03
55%Possession45%
20Total shots10
6On target4
6Corners5
2Yellows2
2Offsides2
13Fouls11
TolucaActualSantos Laguna
3.45xG1.85
46%Possession54%
24Total shots22
9On target6
6Corners7
1Yellows1
3Offsides2
9Fouls13
TolucaActual · PredictedSantos Laguna
3.452.29xG1.851.03
46%55%Possession54%45%
2420Total shots2210
96On target64
66Corners75
12Yellows12
32Offsides22
913Fouls1311

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

TolucaPer matchSantos Laguna
1.9Goals scored / game0.7
0.3Goals conceded / game1.5
58%Possession48%
15.4Shots / game11.6
4.8Corners / game6.8
1.97Expected goals1.08

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

TolucaRateSantos Laguna
70%Wins20%
60%Over 1.560%
30%Over 2.540%
20%BTTS30%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Toluca DWWWW
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60
W 13 Aug Toluca FC Dallas 3 1 1.42 7.00
Santos Laguna WWLDL
W 27 Sept Santos Laguna Pachuca 1 0 2.85 2.67
W 14 Sept Santos Laguna Juarez 2 1 2.06 3.55
L 7 Sept Cruz Azul Santos Laguna 1 0 1.39 7.30
D 30 Aug Santos Laguna Tigres UANL 0 0 4.60 1.83
L 23 Aug Puebla Santos Laguna 3 2 2.12 3.30
L 17 Aug Santos Laguna Guadalaja 0 1 5.90 1.57
W 14 Aug Philadelp(Usa) Santos Laguna(Mex) 0 2 1.75 4.90
L 10 Aug Chicago Fire Santos Laguna 3 1 1.55 5.50
L 7 Aug New York City Santos Laguna 2 0 1.74 4.80
L 3 Aug Club America Santos Laguna 3 0 1.35 8.00

Head to head

Toluca
4·0·1
Santos Laguna
  • Jan 2026 Toluca 3 - 1 Santos Laguna
  • Jul 2025 Santos Laguna 2 - 4 Toluca
  • Apr 2025 Toluca 2 - 1 Santos Laguna
  • Sept 2024 Santos Laguna 2 - 0 Toluca
  • Feb 2024 Toluca 1 - 0 Santos Laguna

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 +11 20
2 Club America 9 +11 20
4 Club Queretaro 9 +5 17
5 Leon 10 +3 17
6 Atlas 10 -1 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 +1 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 +1 14
9 Puebla 10 -1 14
10 Monterrey 9 +2 13
11 CF Pachuca 10 +4 12
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 10 -2 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 -4 12
14 Atlante FC 10 -3 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 -3 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 -5 10
17 Necaxa 10 -8 8
18 FC Juarez 10 -18 3

Legend

  • Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)