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Toluca vs Atlas — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
1 1.42
X 5.00
2 8.75

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
56%Prob.
Away team wins or draws X2 Odds @3.00 Moderate confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Toluca 44%@1.42
Draw 36%@5.00
Atlas 20%@8.75
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 21%@5.79
Under 3.5 79%@1.54
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 25%@1.83
No 75%@1.91

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

TolucaPredictedAtlas
2.57xG0.95
53%Possession47%
21Total shots10
11On target4
6Corners3
2Yellows2
2Offsides1
13Fouls13
TolucaActualAtlas
2.12xG0.94
54%Possession46%
14Total shots10
6On target2
6Corners7
1Yellows3
3Offsides0
11Fouls13
TolucaActual · PredictedAtlas
2.122.57xG0.940.95
54%53%Possession46%47%
1421Total shots1010
611On target24
66Corners73
12Yellows32
32Offsides01
1113Fouls1313

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

TolucaPer matchAtlas
1.9Goals scored / game1.3
0.3Goals conceded / game1.5
61%Possession53%
19.4Shots / game11.1
5.5Corners / game4.0
2.06Expected goals1.06

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

TolucaRateAtlas
70%Wins50%
70%Over 1.590%
40%Over 2.550%
20%BTTS60%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Toluca DLWWW
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60
W 13 Aug Toluca FC Dallas 3 1 1.42 7.00
Atlas WDDLW
W 26 Sept Club Tijuana Atlas 2 3 2.17 3.65
D 20 Sept Atlas UNAM Pumas 1 1 2.42 2.95
D 6 Sept Atlas Atlante 1 1 1.95 4.05
L 30 Aug Atlas Queretaro 1 3 2.15 3.55
W 23 Aug Cruz Azul Atlas 0 2 1.65 5.70
W 16 Aug Atlas Tigres UANL 2 1 3.20 2.32
W 12 Aug FC Cincinnati Atlas 1 2 1.44 7.00
L 8 Aug Charlotte Atlas 2 0 2.22 3.55
L 5 Aug Columbus Crew Atlas 3 1 2.02 4.20
L 2 Aug Atlas Monterrey 0 2 2.63 2.77

Head to head

Toluca
3·2·0
Atlas
  • Mar 2026 Toluca 1 - 1 Atlas
  • Nov 2025 Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca
  • Apr 2025 Atlas 2 - 3 Toluca
  • Sept 2024 Toluca 4 - 1 Atlas
  • Apr 2024 Toluca 4 - 1 Atlas

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 +11 20
2 Club America 9 +11 20
4 Club Queretaro 9 +5 17
5 Leon 10 +3 17
6 Atlas 10 -1 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 +1 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 +1 14
9 Puebla 10 -1 14
10 Monterrey 9 +2 13
11 CF Pachuca 10 +4 12
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 10 -2 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 -4 12
14 Atlante FC 10 -3 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 -3 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 -5 10
17 Necaxa 10 -8 8
18 FC Juarez 10 -18 3

Legend

  • Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)