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Tampa Bay vs Birmingham — USL Championship

1 1.36
X 5.10
2 7.20
1st half2-0
  1. Paterson AJOwn goal1-0 30'
  2. Myers M.2-0 39'
2nd half2-0
  1. 54' Heaps J.Red card
  2. Myers M.Assist Schneider M.3-0 56'
  3. Myers M.4-0 60'

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
56%Prob.
Away team wins or draws X2 Odds @3.15 Moderate confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Tampa Bay 44%@1.36
Draw 33%@5.10
Birmingham 23%@7.20
Total goalsOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 78%@1.46
Under 2.5 22%@5.18
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 43%@1.70
No 57%@2.02

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

Tampa BayPredictedBirmingham
1.40xG1.17
54%Possession46%
16Total shots10
5On target4
6Corners4
2Yellows2
1Offsides2
13Fouls12
Tampa BayActualBirmingham
0.94xG1.65
45%Possession55%
13Total shots17
6On target1
6Corners7
2Yellows2
2Offsides8
17Fouls7
Tampa BayActual · PredictedBirmingham
0.941.40xG1.651.17
45%54%Possession55%46%
1316Total shots1710
65On target14
66Corners74
22Yellows22
21Offsides82
1713Fouls712

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

Tampa BayPer matchBirmingham
1.7Goals scored / game2.0
1.1Goals conceded / game2.1
52%Possession48%
14.1Shots / game13.9
4.9Corners / game4.9
1.33Expected goals1.44

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

Tampa BayRateBirmingham
50%Wins20%
70%Over 1.590%
40%Over 2.580%
40%BTTS90%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Tampa Bay DLWDL
D 27 Sept San Antonio Tampa Bay 0 0 3.40 2.07
L 13 Sept Hartford Tampa Bay 3 1 3.55 2.02
W 6 Sept Tampa Bay Brooklyn 2 0 1.30 8.40
D 29 Aug Pittsburgh Tampa Bay 0 0 3.15 2.40
L 23 Aug Detroit Tampa Bay 1 0 3.00 2.42
W 16 Aug Tampa Bay Rhode Island 2 0 1.92 3.80
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
W 9 Aug Orange C Tampa Bay 0 3 4.00 1.77
W 2 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 5 4 2.00 3.30
W 26 Jul Miami FC Tampa Bay 2 3 4.90 1.60
Birmingham WDDDL
W 23 Sept Birmingham Brooklyn 4 0 1.59 4.65
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 13 Sept Birmingham Charleston 2 2 3.25 2.05
D 6 Sept Indy Eleven Birmingham 2 2 1.63 4.50
L 30 Aug Hartford Birmingham 3 2 2.02 3.30
L 23 Aug Birmingham Sporting JAX 2 3 1.61 4.65
L 16 Aug Colorado Birmingham 3 2 1.53 6.00
W 3 Aug Birmingham Rhode Island 1 0 3.20 2.15
L 30 Jul Louisville City Birmingham 2 1 1.40 6.40
W 12 Jul Birmingham FC Tulsa 3 1 2.08 3.00

Head to head

Tampa Bay
2·1·2
Birmingham
  • Mar 2026 Birmingham 0 - 1 Tampa Bay
  • Sept 2025 Birmingham 1 - 4 Tampa Bay
  • May 2025 Tampa Bay 2 - 2 Birmingham
  • Sept 2024 Birmingham 2 - 0 Tampa Bay
  • May 2024 Tampa Bay 0 - 1 Birmingham

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 26 +22 52
2 Charleston Battery 26 +21 46
3 Detroit City 26 +12 44
6 Louisville City 26 +1 37
7 Rhode Island 25 +8 35
8 Miami FC 27 -8 33
9 Indy Eleven 26 0 33
10 Birmingham Legion 25 -6 23
11 Loudoun United 25 -12 23
12 Brooklyn 26 -26 18
13 Sporting JAX 27 -41 14

Legend

  • Play Offs: 1/8-finals