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Southampton vs Stoke — Championship

Championship · England
1 1.61
X 4.25
2 5.30

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
74%Prob.
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.47 High confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Southampton 53%@1.61
Draw 26%@4.25
Stoke 21%@5.30
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@4.18
Under 3.5 74%@1.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@1.75
No 69%@2.08
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 79%@1.29
Half-time 1:0 Predicted
Correct score 2:0 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

SouthamptonPredictedStoke
1.93xG0.92
54%Possession46%
18Total shots9
7On target3
7Corners5
2Yellows2
2Offsides2
9Fouls12
SouthamptonActualStoke
2.60xG0.68
58%Possession42%
18Total shots14
5On target2
4Corners2
3Yellows5
2Offsides2
10Fouls21
SouthamptonActual · PredictedStoke
2.601.93xG0.680.92
58%54%Possession42%46%
1818Total shots149
57On target23
47Corners25
32Yellows52
22Offsides22
109Fouls2112

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

SouthamptonPer matchStoke
1.7Goals scored / game0.8
1.0Goals conceded / game1.5
53%Possession49%
15.1Shots / game10.8
5.4Corners / game7.8
1.49Expected goals1.02

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

SouthamptonRateStoke
60%Wins20%
80%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.530%
70%BTTS50%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Southampton LWWDD
L 19 Sept Wrexham Southampton 2 1 2.90 2.42
W 12 Sept Southampton Bristol City 4 1 1.70 4.70
W 8 Sept Southampton Swansea 3 1 1.88 4.25
D 5 Sept Lincoln Southampton 1 1 4.25 1.82
D 1 Sept Birmingham Southampton 1 1 2.75 2.55
W 29 Aug Southampton Millwall 5 1 2.00 3.65
L 25 Aug Southampton West Ham 1 4 2.12 3.50
L 16 Aug Watford Southampton 2 1 3.70 2.00
W 8 Aug Colchester Southampton 0 2 9.50 1.29
W 1 Aug Preussen M Southampton 1 2 4.65 1.68
Stoke WWDWW
W 19 Sept Stoke Sheffield Utd 2 1 2.35 3.15
W 12 Sept Watford Stoke 1 2 2.35 3.15
D 8 Sept Cardiff Stoke 1 1 2.10 3.40
W 5 Sept Stoke Charlton 4 0 2.05 4.10
W 1 Sept Stoke Norwich 1 0 3.45 2.15
L 29 Aug Wolves Stoke 4 1 1.70 5.40
D 25 Aug Stoke Hull 1 1 2.25 3.20
L 15 Aug Stoke Swansea 1 2 2.40 3.05
W 8 Aug Stoke Oldham 2 0 1.42 6.75
D 1 Aug Stoke Valencia 1 1 2.88 2.55

Head to head

Southampton
1·0·2
Stoke
  • Jan 2026 Stoke 0 - 2 Southampton
  • Aug 2025 Southampton 1 - 2 Stoke
  • Apr 2024 Southampton 0 - 1 Stoke

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 +7 17
2 West Ham 8 +11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 +4 15
4 Wolves 7 +5 14
5 West Brom 8 +2 14
6 QPR 8 +3 13
7 Stoke City 8 +1 13
8 Bristol City 8 -1 13
9 Charlton 8 -3 12
10 Birmingham 8 +1 11
11 Millwall 8 0 11
12 Lincoln 8 -1 11
13 Southampton 8 +9 10
14 Wrexham 8 -3 10
15 Bolton 8 -4 10
16 Blackburn 8 0 9
17 Norwich 8 -1 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 -2 9
19 Portsmouth 7 -1 8
20 Watford 8 -3 8
21 Cardiff 8 -2 7
22 Derby 8 -7 5
23 Preston 8 -7 4
24 Burnley 8 -8 4

Legend

  • Promotion - Premier League
  • Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
  • Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
  • Relegation - League One