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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano — La Liga

La Liga · Spain
1 1.18
X 9.50
2 18.00

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
89%Prob.
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.29 Very high confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Real Madrid 56%@1.18
Draw 29%@9.50
Rayo Vallecano 15%@18.00
Total goalsOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 84%@1.29
Under 2.5 16%@6.77
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 43%@1.93
No 57%@1.92
Half-time 2:0 Predicted
Correct score 3:0 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

Real MadridPredictedRayo Vallecano
2.91xG1.06
54%Possession46%
21Total shots10
12On target5
7Corners4
2Yellows2
2Offsides2
10Fouls15
Real MadridActualRayo Vallecano
2.68xG1.12
56%Possession44%
24Total shots18
11On target7
11Corners5
0Yellows1
1Offsides0
9Fouls13
Real MadridActual · PredictedRayo Vallecano
2.682.91xG1.121.06
56%54%Possession44%46%
2421Total shots1810
1112On target75
117Corners54
02Yellows12
12Offsides02
910Fouls1315

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

Real MadridPer matchRayo Vallecano
2.4Goals scored / game1.4
0.8Goals conceded / game2.0
55%Possession48%
16.6Shots / game11.0
5.7Corners / game5.2
2.23Expected goals1.15

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

Real MadridRateRayo Vallecano
80%Wins30%
80%Over 1.590%
80%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS80%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Real Madrid LWWLW
L 20 Sept Atl. Madrid Real Madrid 2 1 3.60 2.05
W 15 Sept Elche Real Madrid 2 3 14.50 1.23
W 8 Sept Real Madrid(Esp) Inter(Ita) 2 1 1.65 5.20
L 4 Sept Betis Real Madrid 1 0 6.20 1.50
W 30 Aug Real Madrid Malaga 4 0 1.12 26.00
W 26 Aug Real Madrid Real Sociedad 4 1 1.22 15.50
W 22 Aug Espanyol Real Madrid 1 2 8.00 1.45
W 16 Aug Schalke(Ger) Real Madrid(Esp) 0 3 8.10 1.32
W 12 Aug Dep. A Coruna Real Madrid 0 1 7.80 1.35
W 8 Aug Ferencvaros Real Madrid 1 2 7.00 1.42
Rayo Vallecano DWWLD
D 19 Sept Osasuna Rayo Vallecano 1 1 2.75 2.67
W 15 Sept Rayo Vallecano Espanyol 2 1 2.37 3.30
W 5 Sept Rayo Vallecano Racing S 3 2 1.98 3.95
L 31 Aug Barcelona Rayo Vallecano 5 2 1.12 24.00
D 20 Aug Rayo Vallecano Alaves 1 1 2.45 3.40
L 15 Aug Sevilla Rayo Vallecano 2 1 2.70 3.30
L 8 Aug Ipswich Rayo Vallecano 3 0 2.20 3.10
W 1 Aug Charleroi Rayo Vallecano 2 3 3.55 2.10
D 26 Jul Feyenoord Rayo Vallecano 1 1 2.40 2.70
L 17 Jul Heart M Rayo Vallecano 2 1 2.80 3.00

Head to head

Real Madrid
2·3·0
Rayo Vallecano
  • Feb 2026 Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
  • Nov 2025 Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 Real Madrid
  • Mar 2025 Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
  • Dec 2024 Rayo Vallecano 3 - 3 Real Madrid
  • Feb 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Real Madrid

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 +24 21
2 Atletico Madrid 7 +9 16
3 Real Betis 7 +2 16
4 Real Madrid 7 +10 15
5 Sevilla 7 +1 13
6 Alaves 7 +5 11
8 Real Sociedad 7 -4 10
9 Villarreal 7 +1 8
10 Athletic Club 6 +1 8
11 Getafe 7 -3 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 -5 8
13 Osasuna 7 -7 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 +2 7
15 Espanyol 7 0 7
16 Racing Santander 7 -10 7
17 Levante 6 -4 5
18 Elche 7 -6 5
19 Valencia 7 -9 4
20 Malaga 7 -9 3

Legend

  • Champions League league stage
  • Europa League league stage
  • ECL Playoffs
  • Relegation