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Queretaro vs Toluca — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
1 3.90
X 3.90
2 1.95

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
81%Prob.
Away team wins or draws X2 Odds @1.29 Very high confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Queretaro 19%@3.90
Draw 19%@3.90
Toluca 62%@1.95
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@4.33
Under 3.5 74%@1.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 29%@1.57
No 71%@2.33
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 72%@1.42
Half-time 0:1 Predicted
Correct score 0:2 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

QueretaroPredictedToluca
0.98xG1.80
38%Possession62%
11Total shots21
5On target10
3Corners7
3Yellows1
3Offsides2
13Fouls11
QueretaroActualToluca
1.15xG0.28
46%Possession54%
8Total shots6
0On target0
2Corners3
0Yellows2
1Offsides0
6Fouls6
QueretaroActual · PredictedToluca
1.150.98xG0.281.80
46%38%Possession54%62%
811Total shots621
05On target010
23Corners37
03Yellows21
13Offsides02
613Fouls611

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

QueretaroPer matchToluca
1.1Goals scored / game1.6
1.2Goals conceded / game1.2
39%Possession63%
13.1Shots / game20.5
3.7Corners / game6.4
1.12Expected goals1.71

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

QueretaroRateToluca
40%Wins40%
70%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS50%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Queretaro WDWWD
W 27 Sept Guadalaja Queretaro 0 2 1.65 5.50
D 21 Sept Queretaro Leon 1 1 2.72 2.65
W 12 Sept Club Tijuana Queretaro 0 1 2.05 3.65
W 30 Aug Atlas Queretaro 1 3 2.15 3.55
D 16 Aug UNAM Pumas Queretaro 0 0 1.88 4.35
D 13 Aug Los A Queretaro 1 1 1.34 8.50
L 9 Aug Seattle S Queretaro 3 0 1.70 4.85
L 6 Aug FC Dallas Queretaro 2 0 2.37 3.10
W 2 Aug Queretaro Tigres UANL 3 2 3.20 2.32
W 27 Jul Pachuca Queretaro 1 2 1.67 5.60
Toluca DLWWW
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60
W 13 Aug Toluca FC Dallas 3 1 1.42 7.00

Head to head

Queretaro
1·1·3
Toluca
  • Apr 2026 Queretaro 1 - 0 Toluca
  • Oct 2025 Toluca 4 - 0 Queretaro
  • Feb 2025 Toluca 5 - 0 Queretaro
  • Oct 2024 Queretaro 0 - 1 Toluca
  • Jan 2024 Queretaro 2 - 2 Toluca

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 +11 20
2 Club America 9 +11 20
4 Club Queretaro 9 +5 17
5 Leon 10 +3 17
6 Atlas 10 -1 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 +1 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 +1 14
9 Puebla 10 -1 14
10 Monterrey 9 +2 13
11 CF Pachuca 10 +4 12
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 10 -2 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 -4 12
14 Atlante FC 10 -3 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 -3 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 -5 10
17 Necaxa 10 -8 8
18 FC Juarez 10 -18 3

Legend

  • Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)