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Puebla vs Toluca — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
1 5.80
X 4.65
2 1.57

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
58%Prob.
Toluca to win 2 Odds @1.57 Moderate confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Puebla 19%@5.80
Draw 23%@4.65
Toluca 58%@1.57
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 30%@3.73
Under 3.5 70%@1.60
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 41%@1.66
No 59%@2.18
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 80%@1.31
Half-time 0:1 Predicted
Correct score 0:2 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

PueblaPredictedToluca
1.02xG1.88
42%Possession58%
11Total shots19
4On target5
5Corners5
2Yellows2
1Offsides2
11Fouls12
PueblaActualToluca
0.46xG1.95
44%Possession56%
13Total shots11
2On target3
6Corners5
1Yellows1
1Offsides3
7Fouls14
PueblaActual · PredictedToluca
0.461.02xG1.951.88
44%42%Possession56%58%
1311Total shots1119
24On target35
65Corners55
12Yellows12
11Offsides32
711Fouls1412

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

PueblaPer matchToluca
1.7Goals scored / game1.7
2.3Goals conceded / game0.8
42%Possession63%
12.9Shots / game20.4
5.2Corners / game6.3
1.01Expected goals1.75

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

PueblaRateToluca
40%Wins50%
90%Over 1.570%
70%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS40%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Puebla LDWLW
L 27 Sept Tigres UANL Puebla 1 0 1.67 5.40
D 19 Sept Puebla Atlante 1 1 2.36 3.00
W 12 Sept Necaxa Puebla 0 1 2.05 3.45
L 30 Aug Club America Puebla 2 0 1.55 6.25
W 23 Aug Puebla Santos Laguna 3 2 2.12 3.30
W 18 Aug Pachuca Puebla 2 3 1.60 6.00
L 13 Aug San Diego Puebla 3 2 1.69 4.60
L 10 Aug Austin Puebla 3 0 1.66 5.00
L 7 Aug Portland Puebla 5 2 1.54 5.35
D 1 Aug Puebla Guadalaja 1 1 5.60 1.53
Toluca DLWWW
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60
W 13 Aug Toluca FC Dallas 3 1 1.42 7.00

Head to head

Puebla
0·2·3
Toluca
  • Jan 2026 Puebla 0 - 0 Toluca
  • Sept 2025 Toluca 3 - 1 Puebla
  • Mar 2025 Puebla 0 - 3 Toluca
  • Oct 2024 Toluca 5 - 0 Puebla
  • Jan 2024 Puebla 1 - 1 Toluca

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 +11 20
2 Club America 9 +11 20
4 Club Queretaro 9 +5 17
5 Leon 10 +3 17
6 Atlas 10 -1 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 +1 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 +1 14
9 Puebla 10 -1 14
10 Monterrey 9 +2 13
11 CF Pachuca 10 +4 12
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 10 -2 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 -4 12
14 Atlante FC 10 -3 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 -3 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 -5 10
17 Necaxa 10 -8 8
18 FC Juarez 10 -18 3

Legend

  • Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)