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Nacional vs Estrela — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
1 2.40
X 3.30
2 3.15

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
81%Prob.
Home team wins or draws 1X Odds @1.39 Very high confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nacional 58%@2.40
Draw 21%@3.30
Estrela 21%@3.15
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 34%@2.52
Under 3.5 66%@1.30
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.85
No 41%@2.00
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 66%@1.59
Half-time 1:0 Predicted
Correct score 2:1 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

NacionalPredictedEstrela
1.25xG1.12
54%Possession46%
13Total shots9
5On target5
5Corners2
2Yellows3
1Offsides1
13Fouls13
NacionalActualEstrela
0.84xG2.10
51%Possession49%
10Total shots14
5On target4
4Corners3
2Yellows1
1Offsides1
12Fouls9
NacionalActual · PredictedEstrela
0.841.25xG2.101.12
51%54%Possession49%46%
1013Total shots149
55On target45
45Corners32
22Yellows13
11Offsides11
1213Fouls913

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

NacionalPer matchEstrela
1.1Goals scored / game1.7
1.3Goals conceded / game1.1
51%Possession42%
10.8Shots / game10.2
4.4Corners / game3.2
1.05Expected goals1.12

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

NacionalRateEstrela
20%Wins40%
80%Over 1.580%
30%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS60%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Nacional LLLLW
L 19 Sept Nacional Famalicao 0 4 4.40 2.00
L 12 Sept Nacional Alverca 1 3 2.92 2.60
L 5 Sept Sporting CP Nacional 2 0 1.15 24.00
L 23 Aug Vitória SC Nacional 1 0 1.68 5.70
W 16 Aug Nacional Estoril 2 0 3.00 2.60
D 10 Aug Santa Clara Nacional 2 2 1.98 4.80
L 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –
D 22 Jul Nacional Leganes 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Tondela Nacional 0 0 – –
D 18 Jul Nacional Leixoes 3 3 – –
Estrela LDWDD
L 20 Sept Estrela Academico Viseu 0 2 2.22 3.55
D 14 Sept Rio Ave Estrela 3 3 2.92 2.55
W 10 Sept Estrela Braga 2 1 6.10 1.62
D 5 Sept Estrela Famalicao 2 2 3.05 2.52
D 15 Aug Alverca Estrela 2 2 2.16 3.75
D 8 Aug Estrela Sporting CP 2 2 10.00 1.36
W 1 Aug Estrela Al-Nassr 4 2 3.15 2.10
D 29 Jul Estrela Portimonense 1 1 – –
D 25 Jul Estrela Os Belenenses 0 0 – –
W 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –

Head to head

Nacional
1·1·3
Estrela
  • Jul 2026 Estrela 2 - 0 Nacional
  • Apr 2026 Nacional 2 - 0 Estrela
  • Nov 2025 Estrela 1 - 1 Nacional
  • Apr 2025 Nacional 0 - 1 Estrela
  • Nov 2024 Estrela 2 - 0 Nacional

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 7 +15 21
2 Benfica 7 +15 16
3 Sporting CP 7 +9 15
4 Santa Clara 7 +7 15
5 Arouca 7 +3 11
6 SC Braga 6 +2 11
8 Estrela 7 0 10
9 GIL Vicente 6 0 8
10 Alverca 7 -2 8
11 Maritimo 7 -4 8
12 Moreirense 7 -6 8
13 Famalicao 7 +2 7
14 Vitória SC 7 -3 5
15 Nacional 7 -8 4
16 Rio Ave 7 -10 4
17 Casa Pia 7 -13 4
18 Estoril 7 -7 2

Legend

  • Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
  • Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
  • Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
  • Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
  • Liga Portugal (Relegation)
  • Relegation - Liga Portugal 2