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Nacional vs Defensor Sp. — Primera División

1 1.71
X 3.55
2 4.65
1st half0-1
  1. 27' 0-1Barrios G.
2nd half3-1
  1. 72' 0-2Medina N.
  2. Gomez M.Penalty1-2 89'
  3. Gomez M.2-2 90+2'
  4. Calvo F.3-2 90+4'
  5. 90+6' Frugone A.Red card

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
78%Prob.
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.28 High confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nacional 57%@1.71
Draw 24%@3.55
Defensor Sp. 19%@4.65
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 22%@4.54
Under 3.5 78%@1.28
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.95
No 41%@1.82
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 83%@1.36
Half-time 1:1 Predicted
Correct score 2:1 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

NacionalPredictedDefensor Sp.
52%Possession48%
10Total shots8
5On target4
7Corners4
2Yellows2
2Offsides0
11Fouls0
NacionalActualDefensor Sp.
62%Possession38%
11Total shots3
6On target3
13Corners2
4Yellows2
NacionalActual · PredictedDefensor Sp.
62%52%Possession38%48%
1110Total shots38
65On target34
137Corners24
42Yellows22

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

NacionalPer matchDefensor Sp.
1.2Goals scored / game0.8
1.0Goals conceded / game1.4
57%Possession52%
9.1Shots / game9.7
7.7Corners / game5.8

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

NacionalRateDefensor Sp.
50%Wins20%
60%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS60%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Nacional WWDDW
W 26 Sept Cerro Largo Nacional 0 2 4.75 1.72
W 16 Sept Progreso Nacional 0 1 8.50 1.35
D 12 Sept Wanderers Nacional 1 1 4.60 1.80
D 6 Sept Nacional Juventud 2 2 1.83 4.70
W 3 Sept River Plate Nacional 2 3 4.55 1.93
W 30 Aug Penarol Nacional 0 1 2.27 3.25
D 27 Aug Nacional Albion 0 0 2.06 3.55
W 23 Aug Nacional Progreso 1 0 1.45 6.60
L 15 Aug Racing M Nacional 2 0 3.75 2.33
L 9 Aug Nacional Boston River 1 2 1.47 6.80
Defensor Sp. LWWDD
L 30 Sept Defensor Sp. Plaza Colonia 0 1 1.75 5.10
W 27 Sept Defensor Sp. Danubio 1 0 2.28 3.10
W 13 Sept Defensor Sp. Maldonado 1 0 2.75 2.57
D 9 Sept Cerro Largo Defensor Sp. 1 1 3.05 2.60
D 6 Sept Central Esp. Defensor Sp. 1 1 3.25 2.30
L 29 Aug Defensor Sp. Torque 1 3 3.20 2.23
D 25 Aug Defensor Sp. Rentistas 0 0 1.67 4.75
D 22 Aug Cerro Largo Defensor Sp. 1 1 2.90 2.55
L 16 Aug Defensor Sp. Liverpool M. 0 4 2.63 2.70
L 9 Aug Defensor Sp. Wanderers 0 1 2.25 3.50

Head to head

Nacional
1·3·1
Defensor Sp.
  • Mar 2026 Defensor Sp. 2 - 1 Nacional
  • Nov 2025 Defensor Sp. 1 - 1 Nacional
  • May 2025 Nacional 2 - 1 Defensor Sp.
  • Sept 2024 Nacional 1 - 1 Defensor Sp.
  • Mar 2024 Defensor Sp. 3 - 3 Nacional

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Atletico Torque 7 +11 18
3 Penarol 7 +8 15
5 Club Nacional 8 +2 14
6 Cerro 8 0 14
7 Juventud 8 +4 13
9 Wanderers 8 -1 12
10 Progreso 8 -2 12
11 Boston River 8 -2 8
13 Cerro Largo 8 -5 5
14 Central Espanol 8 -8 5
15 Danubio 8 -7 4
16 Albion FC 8 -10 0

Legend

  • Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)