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Nacional vs Alverca — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional €21.45m
Full time 1 : 3
Alverca €45.30m
1 2.92
X 3.30
2 2.60

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
86%Prob.
Home team wins or draws 1X Odds @1.57 Very high confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nacional 70%@2.92
Draw 13%@3.30
Alverca 17%@2.60
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 25%@3.90
Under 3.5 75%@1.30
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 43%@1.80
No 57%@2.01
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 75%@1.80
Half-time 1:0 Predicted
Correct score 1:0 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

NacionalPredictedAlverca
1.01xG0.95
53%Possession47%
11Total shots9
5On target4
4Corners5
2Yellows2
1Offsides1
12Fouls13
NacionalActualAlverca
2.24xG1.25
57%Possession43%
13Total shots10
3On target7
2Corners0
0Yellows3
0Offsides1
7Fouls16
NacionalActual · PredictedAlverca
2.241.01xG1.250.95
57%53%Possession43%47%
1311Total shots109
35On target74
24Corners05
02Yellows32
01Offsides11
712Fouls1613

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

NacionalPer matchAlverca
1.1Goals scored / game1.1
1.6Goals conceded / game1.2
49%Possession43%
10.0Shots / game9.8
3.6Corners / game5.4
0.93Expected goals1.04

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

NacionalRateAlverca
10%Wins40%
80%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS50%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Nacional LLLLW
L 19 Sept Nacional Famalicao 0 4 4.40 2.00
L 5 Sept Sporting CP Nacional 2 0 1.15 24.00
L 30 Aug Nacional Estrela 2 3 2.40 3.15
L 23 Aug Vitória SC Nacional 1 0 1.68 5.70
W 16 Aug Nacional Estoril 2 0 3.00 2.60
D 10 Aug Santa Clara Nacional 2 2 1.98 4.80
L 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –
D 22 Jul Nacional Leganes 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Tondela Nacional 0 0 – –
D 18 Jul Nacional Leixoes 3 3 – –
Alverca WLDLD
W 19 Sept Alverca Rio Ave 1 0 1.87 4.70
L 5 Sept Alverca Braga 1 2 5.10 1.82
D 29 Aug Alverca Santa Clara 1 1 2.70 2.95
L 22 Aug Sporting CP Alverca 3 1 1.25 15.50
D 15 Aug Alverca Estrela 2 2 2.16 3.75
L 9 Aug FC Porto Alverca 2 0 1.23 16.50
W 1 Aug Alverca Sporting CP B 1 0 – –
L 25 Jul Mafra Alverca 1 0 – –
W 22 Jul Alverca Estoril 2 0 – –
W 17 Jul Alverca Os Belenenses 2 1 – –

Head to head

Nacional
1·0·1
Alverca
  • Apr 2026 Nacional 1 - 0 Alverca
  • Dec 2025 Alverca 1 - 0 Nacional

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 7 +15 21
2 Benfica 7 +15 16
3 Sporting CP 7 +9 15
4 Santa Clara 7 +7 15
5 Arouca 7 +3 11
6 SC Braga 6 +2 11
7 Academico Viseu 7 0 11
8 Estrela 7 0 10
9 GIL Vicente 6 0 8
10 Alverca 7 -2 8
11 Maritimo 7 -4 8
12 Moreirense 7 -6 8
13 Famalicao 7 +2 7
14 Vitória SC 7 -3 5
15 Nacional 7 -8 4
16 Rio Ave 7 -10 4
17 Casa Pia 7 -13 4
18 Estoril 7 -7 2

Legend

  • Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
  • Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
  • Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
  • Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
  • Liga Portugal (Relegation)
  • Relegation - Liga Portugal 2
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