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Nacional Madeira vs Estrela — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional Madeira €19.73m
Full time 2 : 3
Estrela €19.85m
1 2.40
X 3.30
2 3.15

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
81%Prob.
Home team wins or draws 1X Odds @1.39 Very high confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nacional Madeira 58%@2.40
Draw 21%@3.30
Estrela 21%@3.15
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 34%@2.52
Under 3.5 66%@1.30
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.85
No 41%@2.00
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 66%@1.59
Half-time 1:0 Predicted
Correct score 2:1 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

Nacional MadeiraPredictedEstrela
1.25xG1.12
54%Possession46%
13Total shots9
5On target5
5Corners2
2Yellows3
1Offsides1
13Fouls13
Nacional MadeiraActualEstrela
0.84xG2.10
51%Possession49%
10Total shots14
5On target4
4Corners3
2Yellows1
1Offsides1
12Fouls9
Nacional MadeiraActual · PredictedEstrela
0.841.25xG2.101.12
51%54%Possession49%46%
1013Total shots149
55On target45
45Corners32
22Yellows13
11Offsides11
1213Fouls913

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

Nacional MadeiraPer matchEstrela
1.1Goals scored / game1.7
1.3Goals conceded / game1.1
51%Possession42%
10.8Shots / game10.2
4.4Corners / game3.2
1.05Expected goals1.12

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

Nacional MadeiraRateEstrela
20%Wins40%
80%Over 1.580%
30%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS60%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Nacional Madeira WLLLL
W 25 Oct Nacional Madeira Braga 1 0 6.50 1.55
L 17 Oct Sanjoanense Nacional Madeira 1 0 6.20 1.42
L 11 Oct Rio Ave Nacional Madeira 3 2 2.17 3.65
L 19 Sept Nacional Madeira Famalicao 0 4 4.40 2.00
L 12 Sept Nacional Madeira Alverca 1 3 2.92 2.60
L 5 Sept Sporting CP Nacional Madeira 2 0 1.15 24.00
L 23 Aug V. Guimaraes Nacional Madeira 1 0 1.68 5.70
W 16 Aug Nacional Madeira Estoril 2 0 3.00 2.60
D 10 Aug Santa Clara Nacional Madeira 2 2 1.98 4.80
L 23 Jul Estrela Nacional Madeira 2 0 – –
Estrela LWLLD
L 24 Oct Estrela Casa Pia 0 2 1.87 4.75
W 17 Oct Fazendense Estrela 1 2 20.00 1.11
L 11 Oct Arouca Estrela 1 0 2.18 3.45
L 20 Sept Estrela Academico Viseu 0 2 2.22 3.55
D 14 Sept Rio Ave Estrela 3 3 2.92 2.55
W 10 Sept Estrela Braga 2 1 6.10 1.62
D 5 Sept Estrela Famalicao 2 2 3.05 2.52
D 15 Aug Alverca Estrela 2 2 2.16 3.75
D 8 Aug Estrela Sporting CP 2 2 10.00 1.36
W 1 Aug Estrela Al-Nassr 4 2 3.15 2.10

Head to head

Nacional Madeira
1·1·3
Estrela
  • Jul 2026 Estrela 2 - 0 Nacional Madeira
  • Apr 2026 Nacional Madeira 2 - 0 Estrela
  • Nov 2025 Estrela 1 - 1 Nacional Madeira
  • Apr 2025 Nacional Madeira 0 - 1 Estrela
  • Nov 2024 Estrela 2 - 0 Nacional Madeira

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 9 +17 27
2 Benfica 9 +18 22
3 Sporting CP 10 +12 21
4 Santa Clara 9 +7 18
5 Arouca 9 +5 17
6 Academico Viseu 9 +2 17
7 GIL Vicente 9 +1 14
8 Alverca 9 0 11
9 SC Braga 9 -2 11
10 Moreirense 9 -5 11
11 Famalicao 9 +3 10
12 Estrela 9 -3 10
13 Vitória SC 9 0 8
14 Maritimo 9 -10 8
15 Nacional 9 -8 7
16 Rio Ave 9 -13 7
17 Casa Pia 10 -14 7
18 Estoril 9 -10 2

Legend

  • Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
  • Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
  • Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
  • Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
  • Liga Portugal (Relegation)
  • Relegation - Liga Portugal 2
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