Updated live AI-graded football predictions, value bets and a public record
18+
TipsBible
⌘K Log in Premium

Leioa vs Derio — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

1 2.15
X 3.25
2 4.00

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
45%Prob.
Home team wins or draws 1X Odds @1.27 Low confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Leioa 36%@2.15
Draw 45%@3.25
Derio 19%@4.00
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 41%@1.83
Under 3.5 59%@1.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.97
No 56%@1.75

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

LeioaPer matchDerio
1.4Goals scored / game1.1
1.2Goals conceded / game1.2

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

LeioaRateDerio
40%Wins40%
70%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.540%
70%BTTS40%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Leioa WDDLD
W 26 Sept Leioa Eibar C 2 1 – –
D 20 Sept R. Union B Leioa 3 3 – –
D 13 Sept Leioa Pasaia 1 1 1.57 5.70
L 9 Sept Bergantinos Leioa 5 0 – –
D 5 Sept Lagun Onak Leioa 1 1 – –
L 18 Jul Leioa Athletic C 0 11 50.00 1.03
L 21 Jun Albacete B Leioa 2 0 2.20 3.30
W 13 Jun Leioa Albacete B 1 0 2.27 3.35
W 31 May Derio Leioa 0 1 2.60 3.20
L 23 May Leioa Touring 2 3 2.20 3.60
Derio WWLDD
W 26 Sept Aretxabaleta Derio 1 2 2.75 2.43
W 20 Sept Derio Santurtzi 2 0 1.93 3.75
L 16 Sept Derio Salamanca 3 5 3.25 2.16
D 12 Sept San Ignacio Derio 1 1 2.27 3.15
D 9 Sept Compostela Derio 1 1 1.70 4.90
D 5 Sept Derio Real Sociedad C 0 0 2.37 2.87
L 29 Aug Derio(Esp) Sestao(Esp) 0 1 4.25 2.02
L 15 Jul Derio Athletic C 0 3 49.00 1.05
L 31 May Derio Leioa 0 1 2.60 3.20
W 24 May Derio Lagun Onak 2 0 2.17 3.25

Head to head

Leioa
2·1·1
Derio
  • May 2026 Derio 0 - 1 Leioa
  • Apr 2026 Leioa 0 - 0 Derio
  • Dec 2025 Derio 1 - 0 Leioa
  • Mar 2025 Leioa 2 - 1 Derio

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 +41 78
2 Leioa 34 +16 61
3 Derio 34 +14 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 +19 57
5 Touring 34 +12 57
7 San Ignacio 34 +10 55
8 Aurrerá Vitoria 34 +2 54
10 Aretxabaleta 34 -5 45
11 Durango 34 -1 44
12 Santurtzi 34 -13 39
13 Eibar III 34 -9 36
14 Pasaia KE 34 -20 36
15 Añorga 34 -22 34
16 Zamudio 34 -17 33
17 Zarautz 34 -30 30
18 Deusto 34 -23 26

Legend

  • Promotion
  • Promotion Playoffs
  • Relegation