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Independiente vs San Lorenzo — Liga Profesional Argentina

1 2.12
X 3.05
2 4.25

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
88%Prob.
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.47 Very high confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Independiente 57%@2.12
Draw 25%@3.05
San Lorenzo 18%@4.25
Total goalsOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 12%@10.78
Under 2.5 88%@1.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 30%@2.30
No 70%@1.62
Bet Builder
1X & Under 3.5 83%@1.59
Half-time 1:0 Predicted
Correct score 1:0 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

IndependientePredictedSan Lorenzo
1.12xG0.64
51%Possession49%
14Total shots10
6On target4
8Corners3
2Yellows2
2Offsides1
10Fouls10
IndependienteActualSan Lorenzo
1.17xG0.42
66%Possession34%
23Total shots8
5On target3
8Corners6
2Yellows3
7Offsides0
12Fouls17
IndependienteActual · PredictedSan Lorenzo
1.171.12xG0.420.64
66%51%Possession34%49%
2314Total shots810
56On target34
88Corners63
22Yellows32
72Offsides01
1210Fouls1710

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

IndependientePer matchSan Lorenzo
0.9Goals scored / game0.4
1.0Goals conceded / game0.7
54%Possession57%
13.5Shots / game13.9
7.0Corners / game4.5
1.03Expected goals0.98

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

IndependienteRateSan Lorenzo
50%Wins30%
50%Over 1.520%
30%Over 2.50%
10%BTTS10%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Independiente WWLDW
W 19 Sept Union S Independiente 1 2 2.52 3.10
W 6 Sept Central C Independiente 0 1 3.10 2.70
L 30 Aug Independiente Gimnasia M. 0 3 1.93 5.10
D 22 Aug Independiente Ind. Rivadavia 0 0 2.52 3.55
W 17 Aug Lanus Independiente 1 3 2.08 4.25
L 12 Aug Atl. Tucuman Independiente 4 0 3.90 2.25
L 9 Aug Independiente Platense 0 1 1.85 5.60
L 3 Aug Velez Sarsfield Independiente 1 0 2.55 3.15
W 31 Jul Independiente Newells 1 0 1.66 6.75
W 26 Jul Estudiant Independiente 0 2 2.18 4.00
San Lorenzo LWLDW
L 20 Sept San Lorenzo Boca Juniors 0 2 4.90 1.95
W 5 Sept San Lorenzo Talleres 1 0 2.40 3.35
L 1 Sept Instituto San Lorenzo 1 0 1.95 5.00
D 22 Aug Estudiant San Lorenzo 0 0 3.55 2.47
W 15 Aug San Lorenzo Union S 1 0 2.95 2.85
L 9 Aug San Lorenzo Huracan 0 2 2.80 3.05
L 4 Aug Central C San Lorenzo 1 0 3.15 2.62
W 28 Jul San Lorenzo Gimnasia M. 1 0 1.92 4.50
L 26 Jul Lanus San Lorenzo 1 0 2.07 4.90
D 17 Jul San Lorenzo Dep. Riestra 1 1 2.55 3.95

Head to head

Independiente
2·2·0
San Lorenzo
  • May 2026 San Lorenzo 1 - 2 Independiente
  • Sept 2025 Independiente 1 - 1 San Lorenzo
  • Mar 2025 San Lorenzo 1 - 2 Independiente
  • Aug 2024 Independiente 0 - 0 San Lorenzo

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 +6 20
4 Gimnasia M. 10 +5 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 +3 17
6 Independiente 10 +2 17
7 Lanus 10 +4 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 +3 16
9 Union Santa Fe 10 +1 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 -4 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 -1 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 -2 10
13 Platense 10 -6 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 -6 8

Legend

  • Knockout Phase