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Independiente vs Gimnasia M. — Liga Profesional Argentina

1 1.93
X 3.40
2 5.10

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
80%Prob.
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.23 Very high confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Independiente 27%@1.93
Draw 15%@3.40
Gimnasia M. 58%@5.10
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 20%@4.92
Under 3.5 80%@1.23
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@2.15
No 41%@1.75
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.34
Half-time 1:0 Predicted
Correct score 1:1 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

IndependientePredictedGimnasia M.
1.03xG1.14
53%Possession47%
15Total shots12
5On target5
9Corners4
2Yellows3
1Offsides1
12Fouls15
IndependienteActualGimnasia M.
0.89xG0.65
58%Possession42%
11Total shots11
4On target4
7Corners4
1Yellows1
5Offsides1
7Fouls15
IndependienteActual · PredictedGimnasia M.
0.891.03xG0.651.14
58%53%Possession42%47%
1115Total shots1112
45On target45
79Corners44
12Yellows13
51Offsides11
712Fouls1515

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

IndependientePer matchGimnasia M.
1.1Goals scored / game1.3
1.1Goals conceded / game1.1
52%Possession48%
12.8Shots / game13.4
6.7Corners / game4.2
1.07Expected goals1.30

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

IndependienteRateGimnasia M.
50%Wins60%
60%Over 1.550%
40%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS40%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Independiente WDWDW
W 19 Sept Union S Independiente 1 2 2.52 3.10
D 13 Sept Independiente San Lorenzo 1 1 2.12 4.25
W 6 Sept Central C Independiente 0 1 3.10 2.70
D 22 Aug Independiente Ind. Rivadavia 0 0 2.52 3.55
W 17 Aug Lanus Independiente 1 3 2.08 4.25
L 12 Aug Atl. Tucuman Independiente 4 0 3.90 2.25
L 9 Aug Independiente Platense 0 1 1.85 5.60
L 3 Aug Velez Sarsfield Independiente 1 0 2.55 3.15
W 31 Jul Independiente Newells 1 0 1.66 6.75
W 26 Jul Estudiant Independiente 0 2 2.18 4.00
Gimnasia M. DLDWW
D 19 Sept Gimnasia M. Dep. Riestra 0 0 2.37 3.60
L 11 Sept Defensa J Gimnasia M. 2 0 2.05 3.70
D 5 Sept Gimnasia M. Boca Juniors 2 2 3.25 2.47
W 22 Aug Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia M. 2 3 1.88 5.20
W 18 Aug Gimnasia M. Talleres 3 1 3.15 2.63
L 9 Aug Instituto Gimnasia M. 1 0 1.59 6.80
W 1 Aug Gimnasia M. Union S 2 0 3.20 2.52
L 28 Jul San Lorenzo Gimnasia M. 1 0 1.92 4.50
W 24 Jul Gimnasia M. Central C 1 0 2.00 4.80
W 4 May Gimnasia M. Defensa J 2 1 2.32 3.55

Head to head

Independiente
1·1·0
Gimnasia M.
  • Feb 2026 Gimnasia M. 1 - 1 Independiente
  • Jun 2025 Gimnasia M. 1 - 2 Independiente

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 +6 20
4 Gimnasia M. 10 +5 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 +3 17
6 Independiente 10 +2 17
7 Lanus 10 +4 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 +3 16
9 Union Santa Fe 10 +1 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 -4 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 -1 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 -2 10
13 Platense 10 -6 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 -6 8

Legend

  • Knockout Phase