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Hartford vs Louisville City — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Hartford €3.53m
Full time 2 : 2
Louisville City €4.65m
1 2.63
X 3.50
2 2.45
1st half1-0
  1. Williams A.Penalty1-0 11'
2nd half1-2
  1. 48' 1-1Morris J.Assist Davila T.
  2. Fischer B.Second yellow 51'
  3. 53' 1-2Huerman Q.Penalty
  4. Ngalina M.Penalty2-2 73'

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
74%Prob.
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.39 High confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Hartford 43%@2.63
Draw 23%@3.50
Louisville City 34%@2.45
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@3.96
Under 3.5 74%@1.39
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.65
No 41%@2.23
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 56%@1.68
Half-time 1:0 Predicted
Correct score 2:1 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

Hartford PredictedLouisville City
1.72xG1.07
49%Possession51%
12Total shots12
5On target4
4Corners5
2Yellows2
3Offsides2
15Fouls12
Hartford ActualLouisville City
2.06xG1.58
38%Possession62%
13Total shots11
4On target5
8Corners7
4Yellows3
2Offsides1
12Fouls14
Hartford Actual · PredictedLouisville City
2.061.72xG1.581.07
38%49%Possession62%51%
1312Total shots1112
45On target54
84Corners75
42Yellows32
23Offsides12
1215Fouls1412

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

Hartford Per matchLouisville City
2.1Goals scored / game1.3
1.1Goals conceded / game1.4
44%Possession44%
13.5Shots / game11.1
4.8Corners / game4.6
1.97Expected goals0.93

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

Hartford RateLouisville City
70%Wins20%
100%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.550%
90%BTTS70%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Hartford DWWWD
D 20 Sept Las V Hartford 1 1 2.07 3.25
W 16 Sept Hartford Sporting JAX 2 0 1.53 6.00
W 13 Sept Hartford Tampa Bay 3 1 3.55 2.02
W 9 Sept Hartford Colorado 2 1 2.23 2.92
D 6 Sept Detroit Hartford 1 1 1.92 4.25
W 3 Sept Charleston Hartford 1 2 1.60 5.40
W 30 Aug Hartford Birmingham 3 2 2.02 3.30
W 16 Aug Hartford Miami FC 2 1 1.80 3.90
W 13 Aug Charlotte Hartford 2 4 2.72 2.28
D 9 Aug Indy Eleven Hartford 1 1 1.94 3.85
Louisville City WLDDD
W 20 Sept Louisville City Loudoun 2 1 1.44 6.00
L 13 Sept Louisville City El Paso 1 2 1.80 4.35
D 9 Sept San Antonio Louisville City 0 0 3.05 2.30
D 6 Sept Rhode Island Louisville City 1 1 2.35 2.85
D 30 Aug Louisville City Detroit 0 0 1.80 4.20
L 23 Aug Indy Eleven Louisville City 2 1 3.15 2.07
W 16 Aug Orange C Louisville City 2 3 3.55 2.05
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
D 9 Aug Louisville City San Antonio 1 1 1.50 5.75
L 2 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 5 4 2.00 3.30

Head to head

Hartford
1·1·3
Louisville City
  • Jul 2026 Louisville City 1 - 0 Hartford
  • Oct 2025 Louisville City 1 - 0 Hartford
  • May 2025 Hartford 1 - 1 Louisville City
  • Aug 2024 Hartford 2 - 1 Louisville City
  • Apr 2024 Louisville City 6 - 0 Hartford

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 26 +22 52
2 Charleston Battery 26 +21 46
3 Detroit City 26 +12 44
4 Hartford Athletic 26 +3 39
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 +1 38
6 Louisville City 26 +1 37
7 Rhode Island 25 +8 35
8 Miami FC 27 -8 33
9 Indy Eleven 26 0 33
10 Birmingham Legion 25 -6 23
11 Loudoun United 25 -12 23
12 Brooklyn 26 -26 18
13 Sporting JAX 27 -41 14

Legend

  • Play Offs: 1/8-finals
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