Updated live AI-graded football predictions, value bets and a public record
18+
TipsBible
⌘K Log in Sign up

Guadalaja vs Toluca — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
1 2.08
X 3.95
2 3.65

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
69%Prob.
1X 1X Odds @1.32 High confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
1Guadalaja 55%@2.08
XDraw 22%@3.95
2Toluca 23%@3.65
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 29%@3.60
Under 3.5 71%@1.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 42%@1.60
No 58%@2.25
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 66%@1.44
Half-time 1:0 Predicted
Correct score 2:0 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our model's projection for the 90 minutes.

GuadalajaStatToluca
1.39
xG
1.12
52
Possession
48
20
Total shots
15
8
On target
6
7
Corners
5
2
Yellows
2
2
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
13

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

GuadalajaPer matchToluca
1.4
Goals scored / game
1.7
1.3
Goals conceded / game
1.7
61
Possession %
59
19.3
Shots / game
16.4
6.9
Corners / game
5.3
1.35
Expected goals
1.27

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

GuadalajaRateToluca
2
Wins
2
7
Over 1.5
8
6
Over 2.5
6
5
BTTS
6

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Guadalaja DWDDL
D 1 Aug Puebla Guadalaja 1 1 5.60 1.53
W 26 Jul Guadalaja FC Juarez 1 0 1.42 8.25
D 11 Jul Guadalaja Leones N 0 0
D 4 Jul Correcaminos U Guadalaja 0 0
L 17 May Guadalaja Cruz Azul 1 2 2.30 3.20
D 14 May Cruz Azul Guadalaja 2 2 2.22 3.40
Toluca WLLDL
W 3 Aug Toluca Necaxa 3 1 1.47 6.25
L 26 Jul Toluca Cruz Azul 1 3 2.75 2.45
L 22 Jul Toluca U.N.A.M. P 1 2 1.57 5.20
D 10 Jul Atlante FC Toluca 3 3
L 4 Jul Cancun Toluca 1 0 8.00 1.36
D 31 May Toluca Tigres UANL 1 1 1.78 4.40

Head to head

Guadalaja
1·2·3
Toluca
  • Feb 2026 Toluca 2 - 0 Guadalaja
  • Sep 2025 Guadalaja 0 - 3 Toluca
  • Feb 2025 Toluca 2 - 1 Guadalaja
  • Jul 2024 Guadalaja 0 - 0 Toluca
  • May 2024 Toluca 0 - 0 Guadalaja
  • May 2024 Guadalaja 1 - 0 Toluca

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
2 Cruz Azul 2 +2 6
3 Atlas 2 +2 6
4 Necaxa 2 +2 6
6 CF Pachuca 2 +2 3
7 Toluca 2 +1 3
8 Monterrey 2 0 3
10 Puebla 2 0 3
14 Atlante FC 2 -1 1
15 Tigres UANL 2 -2 1
16 Leon 2 -2 0
18 FC Juarez 2 -2 0