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Excelsior vs PSV — Eredivisie

Eredivisie · Netherlands
1 6.80
X 5.50
2 1.47

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
85%Prob.
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.36 Very high confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Excelsior 20%@6.80
Draw 24%@5.50
PSV 56%@1.47
Total goalsOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 79%@1.36
Under 2.5 21%@5.12
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 63%@1.46
No 37%@2.70
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 82%@1.21
Half-time 1:1 Predicted
Correct score 1:2 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

ExcelsiorPredictedPSV
1.69xG2.26
48%Possession52%
13Total shots18
7On target10
4Corners8
1Yellows2
1Offsides1
11Fouls9
ExcelsiorActualPSV
0.32xG2.20
41%Possession59%
5Total shots20
2On target8
1Corners7
1Yellows0
1Offsides1
9Fouls3
ExcelsiorActual · PredictedPSV
0.321.69xG2.202.26
41%48%Possession59%52%
513Total shots2018
27On target810
14Corners78
11Yellows02
11Offsides11
911Fouls39

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

ExcelsiorPer matchPSV
3.3Goals scored / game2.7
1.0Goals conceded / game1.9
54%Possession50%
15.8Shots / game14.2
5.2Corners / game5.1
2.10Expected goals1.71

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

ExcelsiorRatePSV
90%Wins40%
100%Over 1.5100%
80%Over 2.590%
70%BTTS80%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Excelsior DLDWW
D 19 Sept Ajax Excelsior 2 2 1.24 12.00
L 13 Sept Excelsior Utrecht 1 2 2.12 3.30
D 8 Sept Nijmegen Excelsior 2 2 1.97 3.90
W 5 Sept Willem II Excelsior 0 3 3.05 2.27
W 29 Aug Excelsior S. Rotterdam 2 1 2.22 3.10
W 7 Aug Cambuur Excelsior 0 4 2.67 2.72
W 1 Aug De Graafschap Excelsior 1 5 3.00 1.97
W 24 Jul Heracles Excelsior 1 4 – –
W 18 Jul NAC Breda Excelsior 1 3 2.52 2.45
W 11 Jul Dordrecht Excelsior 0 2 – –
PSV LWDWW
L 20 Sept Twente PSV 3 2 2.90 2.22
W 13 Sept PSV S. Rotterdam 4 1 1.22 13.50
D 10 Sept PSV(Ned) Shakhtar (Ukr) 1 1 1.53 6.40
W 5 Sept Ajax PSV 1 3 2.62 2.55
W 30 Aug Utrecht PSV 1 6 5.60 1.53
W 23 Aug PSV Groningen 5 1 1.30 10.00
D 8 Aug PSV Sittard (Ned) 2 2 1.19 17.00
L 2 Aug PSV AZ Alkmaar 0 4 1.67 5.25
W 28 Jul PSV FC Eindhoven 3 0 1.42 6.00
L 25 Jul PSV Villarreal 1 3 1.83 3.70

Head to head

Excelsior
0·0·5
PSV
  • Jan 2026 PSV 5 - 1 Excelsior
  • Sept 2025 Excelsior 1 - 2 PSV
  • Jan 2025 PSV 5 - 4 Excelsior
  • Apr 2024 Excelsior 0 - 2 PSV
  • Jan 2024 PSV 3 - 1 Excelsior

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 +12 19
2 Feyenoord 7 +18 17
3 PSV Eindhoven 7 +14 16
4 Twente 7 +8 16
5 Ajax 7 +12 14
6 Fortuna Sittard 7 -1 13
7 Excelsior 7 +6 11
8 Groningen 7 +2 11
9 GO Ahead Eagles 7 +2 10
10 Heerenveen 7 +2 9
11 NEC Nijmegen 7 -1 8
13 Telstar 7 -7 5
14 Cambuur 7 -9 5
15 Utrecht 7 -13 5
16 PEC Zwolle 7 -14 4
17 ADO Den Haag 7 -10 2
18 Willem II 7 -14 2

Legend

  • Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
  • Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
  • Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
  • Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
  • Eredivisie (Relegation)
  • Relegation - Eerste Divisie