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Derby vs Swansea — Championship

Championship · England
1 2.40
X 3.25
2 3.10

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
71%Prob.
Away team wins or draws X2 Odds @1.60 High confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Derby 25%@2.40
Draw 19%@3.25
Swansea 56%@3.10
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 24%@4.09
Under 3.5 76%@1.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.85
No 56%@2.00
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 67%@1.83
Half-time 0:1 Predicted
Correct score 0:1 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

DerbyPredictedSwansea
1.25xG1.08
49%Possession51%
13Total shots10
7On target4
5Corners4
3Yellows2
2Offsides2
13Fouls10
DerbyActualSwansea
0.59xG3.13
47%Possession53%
8Total shots23
0On target12
5Corners6
3Yellows2
5Offsides4
16Fouls7
DerbyActual · PredictedSwansea
0.591.25xG3.131.08
47%49%Possession53%51%
813Total shots2310
07On target124
55Corners64
33Yellows22
52Offsides42
1613Fouls710

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

DerbyPer matchSwansea
1.3Goals scored / game1.1
1.6Goals conceded / game0.9

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

DerbyRateSwansea
20%Wins40%
90%Over 1.560%
70%Over 2.540%
80%BTTS40%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Derby DLLLW
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
L 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 9 Sept Derby West Brom 0 1 3.40 2.20
L 5 Sept West Ham Derby 3 0 1.39 8.50
W 1 Sept Portsmouth Derby 0 2 2.10 3.95
D 22 Aug Derby Cardiff 2 2 2.15 3.80
L 15 Aug Charlton Derby 2 1 2.75 2.72
L 8 Aug Derby Lincoln 1 2 2.02 3.40
D 4 Aug Rotherham Derby 1 1 3.90 1.83
L 1 Aug Burton Derby 1 0 3.95 1.86
Swansea WWLDW
W 19 Sept Lincoln Swansea 1 2 3.05 2.45
W 12 Sept Swansea Burnley 3 1 2.12 3.55
L 8 Sept Southampton Swansea 3 1 1.88 4.25
D 5 Sept Swansea Wrexham 0 0 2.27 3.30
W 1 Sept Swansea Watford 2 0 1.90 4.25
D 22 Aug Swansea Sheffield Utd 0 0 2.65 2.80
W 15 Aug Stoke Swansea 1 2 2.40 3.05
L 8 Aug Swansea Birmingham 0 1 2.95 2.33
W 1 Aug Swansea Leganes 1 0 2.02 3.40
L 28 Jul Merthyr Town Swansea 3 0 – –

Head to head

Derby
2·0·2
Swansea
  • Feb 2026 Derby 2 - 0 Swansea
  • Nov 2025 Swansea 1 - 2 Derby
  • Apr 2025 Swansea 1 - 0 Derby
  • Nov 2024 Derby 1 - 2 Swansea

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 +7 17
2 West Ham 8 +11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 +4 15
4 Wolves 7 +5 14
5 West Brom 8 +2 14
6 QPR 8 +3 13
7 Stoke City 8 +1 13
8 Bristol City 8 -1 13
9 Charlton 8 -3 12
10 Birmingham 8 +1 11
11 Millwall 8 0 11
12 Lincoln 8 -1 11
13 Southampton 8 +9 10
14 Wrexham 8 -3 10
15 Bolton 8 -4 10
16 Blackburn 8 0 9
17 Norwich 8 -1 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 -2 9
19 Portsmouth 7 -1 8
20 Watford 8 -3 8
21 Cardiff 8 -2 7
22 Derby 8 -7 5
23 Preston 8 -7 4
24 Burnley 8 -8 4

Legend

  • Promotion - Premier League
  • Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
  • Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
  • Relegation - League One