Updated live AI-graded football predictions, value bets and a public record
18+
TipsBible
⌘K Log in Premium

Derby vs Cardiff — Championship

Championship · England
1 2.15
X 3.50
2 3.80

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
75%Prob.
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.28 High confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Derby 37%@2.15
Draw 42%@3.50
Cardiff 21%@3.80
Total goalsOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 75%@1.28
Under 1.5 25%@3.84
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.74
No 44%@2.12
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.22
Half-time 1:0 Predicted
Correct score 1:1 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

DerbyPredictedCardiff
1.16xG1.41
47%Possession53%
14Total shots15
7On target7
5Corners7
2Yellows2
1Offsides2
14Fouls10
DerbyActualCardiff
1.62xG1.98
36%Possession64%
15Total shots16
7On target7
7Corners7
5Yellows1
5Offsides0
12Fouls10
DerbyActual · PredictedCardiff
1.621.16xG1.981.41
36%47%Possession64%53%
1514Total shots1615
77On target77
75Corners77
52Yellows12
51Offsides02
1214Fouls1010

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

DerbyPer matchCardiff
1.4Goals scored / game3.2
1.6Goals conceded / game1.9

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

DerbyRateCardiff
30%Wins70%
90%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.580%
80%BTTS80%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Derby DLLLW
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
L 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 9 Sept Derby West Brom 0 1 3.40 2.20
L 5 Sept West Ham Derby 3 0 1.39 8.50
W 1 Sept Portsmouth Derby 0 2 2.10 3.95
L 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
L 15 Aug Charlton Derby 2 1 2.75 2.72
L 8 Aug Derby Lincoln 1 2 2.02 3.40
D 4 Aug Rotherham Derby 1 1 3.90 1.83
L 1 Aug Burton Derby 1 0 3.95 1.86
Cardiff WLDLL
W 19 Sept Cardiff Charlton 3 1 1.75 4.70
L 12 Sept Bolton Cardiff 1 0 2.77 2.43
D 8 Sept Cardiff Stoke 1 1 2.10 3.40
L 5 Sept Portsmouth Cardiff 2 0 2.42 2.95
L 2 Sept QPR Cardiff 2 1 1.98 3.70
D 29 Aug Cardiff Sheffield Utd 2 2 2.82 2.40
L 25 Aug Cardiff Norwich 1 2 2.70 2.43
D 17 Aug Cardiff Wrexham 1 1 2.60 2.75
W 8 Aug Cardiff Swindon 3 2 1.33 8.00
W 1 Aug Cardiff AS Roma 4 1 4.90 1.60

Head to head

Derby
1·0·1
Cardiff
  • Jan 2025 Cardiff 2 - 1 Derby
  • Sept 2024 Derby 1 - 0 Cardiff

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 +7 17
2 West Ham 8 +11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 +4 15
4 Wolves 7 +5 14
5 West Brom 8 +2 14
6 QPR 8 +3 13
7 Stoke City 8 +1 13
8 Bristol City 8 -1 13
9 Charlton 8 -3 12
10 Birmingham 8 +1 11
11 Millwall 8 0 11
12 Lincoln 8 -1 11
13 Southampton 8 +9 10
14 Wrexham 8 -3 10
15 Bolton 8 -4 10
16 Blackburn 8 0 9
17 Norwich 8 -1 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 -2 9
19 Portsmouth 7 -1 8
20 Watford 8 -3 8
21 Cardiff 8 -2 7
22 Derby 8 -7 5
23 Preston 8 -7 4
24 Burnley 8 -8 4

Legend

  • Promotion - Premier League
  • Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
  • Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
  • Relegation - League One