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Derby vs Birmingham — Championship

Championship · England
1 3.45
X 3.45
2 2.25

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓
75%Prob.
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.33 High confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Derby 58%@3.45
Draw 17%@3.45
Birmingham 25%@2.25
Total goalsOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 25%@3.99
Under 3.5 75%@1.33
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.78
No 40%@2.02
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.58
Half-time 0:0 Predicted
Correct score 1:1 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

DerbyPredictedBirmingham
0.73xG1.32
53%Possession47%
10Total shots11
4On target4
5Corners6
2Yellows2
3Offsides2
14Fouls13
DerbyActualBirmingham
0.82xG3.02
59%Possession41%
18Total shots18
4On target9
11Corners4
1Yellows3
4Offsides1
8Fouls12
DerbyActual · PredictedBirmingham
0.820.73xG3.021.32
59%53%Possession41%47%
1810Total shots1811
44On target94
115Corners46
12Yellows32
43Offsides12
814Fouls1213

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

DerbyPer matchBirmingham
1.0Goals scored / game1.4
1.6Goals conceded / game1.7
51%Possession44%
10.3Shots / game10.7
5.4Corners / game5.6
0.74Expected goals1.26

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

DerbyRateBirmingham
20%Wins30%
80%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.570%
50%BTTS80%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Derby DLLWL
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
L 9 Sept Derby West Brom 0 1 3.40 2.20
L 5 Sept West Ham Derby 3 0 1.39 8.50
W 1 Sept Portsmouth Derby 0 2 2.10 3.95
L 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
D 22 Aug Derby Cardiff 2 2 2.15 3.80
L 15 Aug Charlton Derby 2 1 2.75 2.72
L 8 Aug Derby Lincoln 1 2 2.02 3.40
D 4 Aug Rotherham Derby 1 1 3.90 1.83
L 1 Aug Burton Derby 1 0 3.95 1.86
Birmingham DLDDW
D 19 Sept Birmingham Middlesbrough 2 2 2.85 2.50
L 9 Sept Norwich Birmingham 2 1 1.95 3.90
D 6 Sept Birmingham Wolves 2 2 2.90 2.47
D 1 Sept Birmingham Southampton 1 1 2.75 2.55
W 28 Aug Wrexham Birmingham 1 2 2.27 3.50
L 25 Aug Birmingham Brentford 1 6 4.25 1.90
D 22 Aug Birmingham Bristol City 2 2 1.78 4.90
D 15 Aug Sheffield Utd Birmingham 0 0 2.32 3.25
W 8 Aug Swansea Birmingham 0 1 2.95 2.33
D 31 Jul Birmingham Barcelona 2 2 4.50 1.69

Head to head

Derby
1·1·0
Birmingham
  • Mar 2026 Derby 1 - 0 Birmingham
  • Dec 2025 Birmingham 1 - 1 Derby

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 +7 17
2 West Ham 8 +11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 +4 15
4 Wolves 7 +5 14
5 West Brom 8 +2 14
6 QPR 8 +3 13
7 Stoke City 8 +1 13
8 Bristol City 8 -1 13
9 Charlton 8 -3 12
10 Birmingham 8 +1 11
11 Millwall 8 0 11
12 Lincoln 8 -1 11
13 Southampton 8 +9 10
14 Wrexham 8 -3 10
15 Bolton 8 -4 10
16 Blackburn 8 0 9
17 Norwich 8 -1 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 -2 9
19 Portsmouth 7 -1 8
20 Watford 8 -3 8
21 Cardiff 8 -2 7
22 Derby 8 -7 5
23 Preston 8 -7 4
24 Burnley 8 -8 4

Legend

  • Promotion - Premier League
  • Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
  • Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
  • Relegation - League One