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Burnley vs Derby — Championship

Championship · England
Burnley €147.80m
Full time 1 : 1
Derby €71.10m
1 1.88
X 3.75
2 4.40
1st half0-0
2nd half1-1
  1. Goal1-0 ~0'
  2. ~0' 1-1Goal

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Lost ✗
76%Prob.
Burnley to win 1 Odds @1.88 High confidence
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Burnley 76%@1.88
Draw 13%@3.75
Derby 11%@4.40
Total goalsOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 71%@1.27
Under 1.5 29%@3.11
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@1.74
No 69%@2.07
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 66%@1.51
Half-time 1:0 Predicted
Correct score 2:0 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

BurnleyPredictedDerby
1.25xG0.78
51%Possession49%
16Total shots9
4On target3
6Corners5
2Yellows2
1Offsides3
11Fouls13
BurnleyActualDerby
0.49xG1.15
52%Possession48%
6Total shots14
2On target6
4Corners5
4Yellows2
3Offsides4
9Fouls12
BurnleyActual · PredictedDerby
0.491.25xG1.150.78
52%51%Possession48%49%
616Total shots149
24On target63
46Corners55
42Yellows22
31Offsides43
911Fouls1213

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

BurnleyPer matchDerby
0.9Goals scored / game0.8
1.8Goals conceded / game1.7
54%Possession52%
15.0Shots / game11.3
6.0Corners / game6.1
1.12Expected goals0.75

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

BurnleyRateDerby
0%Wins10%
80%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.560%
80%BTTS50%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

Burnley LDLDL
L 12 Sept Swansea Burnley 3 1 2.12 3.55
D 8 Sept Wrexham Burnley 1 1 2.12 3.60
L 5 Sept Burnley Bristol City 1 2 2.00 3.95
D 2 Sept Burnley Middlesbrough 1 1 3.20 2.23
L 29 Aug Norwich Burnley 4 1 2.07 3.60
D 26 Aug Bradford Burnley 0 0 3.50 2.23
L 23 Aug West Brom Burnley 3 1 2.63 2.87
D 16 Aug Burnley West Ham 2 2 3.05 2.37
D 8 Aug Burnley Notts County 1 1 1.44 7.70
L 2 Aug Burnley Torino 0 1 2.32 2.95
Derby LLLWL
L 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 9 Sept Derby West Brom 0 1 3.40 2.20
L 5 Sept West Ham Derby 3 0 1.39 8.50
W 1 Sept Portsmouth Derby 0 2 2.10 3.95
L 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
D 22 Aug Derby Cardiff 2 2 2.15 3.80
L 15 Aug Charlton Derby 2 1 2.75 2.72
L 8 Aug Derby Lincoln 1 2 2.02 3.40
D 4 Aug Rotherham Derby 1 1 3.90 1.83
L 1 Aug Burton Derby 1 0 3.95 1.86

Head to head

Burnley
1·2·0
Derby
  • Aug 2025 Burnley 2 - 1 Derby
  • Apr 2025 Derby 0 - 0 Burnley
  • Dec 2024 Burnley 0 - 0 Derby

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 +7 17
2 West Ham 8 +11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 +4 15
4 Wolves 7 +5 14
5 West Brom 8 +2 14
6 QPR 8 +3 13
7 Stoke City 8 +1 13
8 Bristol City 8 -1 13
9 Charlton 8 -3 12
10 Birmingham 8 +1 11
11 Millwall 8 0 11
12 Lincoln 8 -1 11
13 Southampton 8 +9 10
14 Wrexham 8 -3 10
15 Bolton 8 -4 10
16 Blackburn 8 0 9
17 Norwich 8 -1 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 -2 9
19 Portsmouth 7 -1 8
20 Watford 8 -3 8
21 Cardiff 8 -2 7
22 Derby 8 -7 5
23 Preston 8 -7 4
24 Burnley 8 -8 4

Legend

  • Promotion - Premier League
  • Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
  • Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
  • Relegation - League One
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