Aucas vs Libertad prediction

AI Match Tips

Every market shows our model's probability for each outcome — the higher the bar, the more likely we rate it.

Best tip Won ✓

84%Prob.

Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.33 Very high confidence

Full-time result1X2 · win %

Aucas 41%@1.55

Draw 16%@4.10

Libertad 43%@6.40

Total goalsOver/Under 3.5

Over 3.5 16%@6.98

Under 3.5 84%@1.33

Both teams to scoreBTTS

Yes 41%@2.05

No 59%@1.75

Bet Builder

X2 & Under 4.5 56%@2.86

Half-time 0:0 Predicted

Correct score 0:1 Most likely

Predicted match stats

Our predicted stats, next to the real ones.

AUC

AucasPredictedLibertadLIB

1.00xG0.86

57%Possession43%

11Total shots11

5On target5

5Corners3

2Yellows2

2Offsides2

13Fouls14

AUC

AucasActualLibertadLIB

1.01xG0.28

62%Possession38%

12Total shots9

3On target3

2Corners2

2Yellows1

3Offsides0

13Fouls9

AUC

AucasActual · PredictedLibertadLIB

1.011.00xG0.280.86

62%57%Possession38%43%

1211Total shots911

35On target35

25Corners23

22Yellows12

32Offsides02

1313Fouls914

Season form

How each side performs across the campaign.

AUC

AucasPer matchLibertadLIB

1.0Goals scored / game1.3

1.2Goals conceded / game0.7

50%Possession41%

9.7Shots / game12.2

4.2Corners / game3.8

0.85Expected goals0.92

Recent record

How often each side lands these outcomes.

AUC

AucasRateLibertadLIB

40%Wins60%

60%Over 1.550%

40%Over 2.540%

30%BTTS30%

Recent form

Last matches for each side.

AUC

Aucas LDDDL

L 19 Sept AUC

Aucas MAC

Macara 1 2 2.12 3.95

D 12 Sept MAN

Manta AUC

Aucas 0 0 3.60 2.22

D 7 Sept AUC

Aucas BAR

Barcelona SC 1 1 1.77 4.60

D 3 Sept U.

U. Catolica AUC

Aucas 1 1 1.92 4.25

L 26 Aug LDU

LDU Quito AUC

Aucas 1 0 1.83 4.30

W 23 Aug DEL

Delfin AUC

Aucas 0 1 3.05 2.48

L 17 Aug AUC

Aucas LDU

LDU Quito 0 1 2.55 2.90

D 12 Aug LA

La Union AUC

Aucas 1 1 5.10 1.65

W 8 Aug AUC

Aucas LEO

Leones d 3 0 1.85 4.65

W 2 Aug EME

Emelec AUC

Aucas 0 2 2.25 3.40

LIB

Libertad WLWDW

W 20 Sept EME

Emelec LIB

Libertad 1 2 1.68 5.20

L 14 Sept LIB

Libertad IND

Ind. del Valle 2 3 3.85 2.07

W 7 Sept DEP

Dep. Cuenca LIB

Libertad 0 1 1.75 4.80

D 4 Sept LIB

Libertad EME

Emelec 1 1 2.38 3.20

W 25 Aug LIB

Libertad MAC

Macara 1 0 3.20 2.28

D 15 Aug GUA

Guayaquil City LIB

Libertad 2 2 1.96 4.10

W 10 Aug LIB

Libertad U.

U. Catolica 2 1 4.25 1.95

W 1 Aug LIB

Libertad ORE

Orense 3 0 2.85 2.50

W 27 Jul MUS

Mushuc Runa LIB

Libertad 0 2 1.60 5.70

W 21 Jul LIB

Libertad DEL

Delfin 1 0 2.30 3.25

Head to head

AUC

Aucas

2·1·2

LibertadLIB

May 2026 Libertad 3 - 2 Aucas
Aug 2025 Libertad 3 - 2 Aucas
May 2025 Aucas 2 - 0 Libertad
Oct 2024 Libertad 1 - 1 Aucas
May 2024 Aucas 2 - 0 Libertad

Standings

Where both teams sit this season.

# Team P GD Pts

1 IND

Independiente del Valle 30 +40 74

2 UNI

Universidad Catolica 30 +24 51

3 MAC

Macara 30 +8 51

4 AUC

Aucas 30 +5 50

5 LDU

LDU de Quito 30 +7 46

6 BAR

Barcelona SC 30 +7 44

7 LIB

Libertad 30 -1 41

8 LEO

Leones del Norte 30 -1 39

9 GUA

Guayaquil City FC 30 -3 39

10 EME

Emelec 30 -9 39

11 MUS

Mushuc Runa SC 30 -3 38

12 DEP

Deportivo Cuenca 30 -12 36

13 ORE

Orense SC 30 -11 33

14 TEC

Tecnico Universitario 30 -14 32

15 DEL

Delfin SC 30 -12 28

16 MAN

Manta FC 30 -25 21

Legend

Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Liga Pro (Relegation Group)

Aucas vs Libertad — Liga Pro